Manfredonia vs Francavilla: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Miramare, Manfredonia
The Footlab AI model makes Manfredonia the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Francavilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manfredonia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manfredonia vs Francavilla?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Manfredonia (1,676) and Francavilla (1,654).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manfredonia vs Francavilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manfredonia
Not enough data to predict the Manfredonia lineup.
Francavilla
Not enough data to predict the Francavilla lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manfredonia have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Francavilla have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Turris(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bisceglie(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ebolitana(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gladiator(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Martina Franca(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Melfi(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Manfredonia win, 0 draws, 3 Francavilla wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Manfredonia 1-0 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Francavilla 3-2 Manfredonia | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Manfredonia 0-1 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Francavilla 2-0 Manfredonia | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Manfredonia vs Francavilla on Jan 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manfredonia score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Francavilla score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manfredonia | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Francavilla | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manfredonia sit 8th in Serie D - Girone H (11 points from 7 matches) and Francavilla sit 17th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Manfredonia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 17 | Francavilla | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
A question about Manfredonia vs Francavilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manfredonia vs Francavilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manfredonia the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Francavilla.
- Where and when is Manfredonia vs Francavilla played?
- Manfredonia vs Francavilla is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Miramare, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.