Glentoran vs Linfield: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)BetMcLean Oval, Belfast
The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Linfield. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Glentoran vs Linfield?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Glentoran (1,686) and Linfield (1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Glentoran have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Linfield have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ballymena United(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Limavady United(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dollingstown(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Glentoran win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Linfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linfield 2-1 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Glentoran 1-1 Linfield | Premiership |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Glentoran 0-1 Linfield | League Cup |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Linfield 1-0 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Linfield 0-1 Glentoran | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Glentoran 1-1 Linfield | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Linfield vs Glentoran on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Glentoran score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Linfield score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glentoran | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Linfield | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Glentoran sit 2nd in Premiership (6 points from 3 matches) and Linfield sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Glentoran | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Linfield | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Glentoran vs Linfield?
- The Footlab model makes Glentoran the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Linfield.
- Where and when is Glentoran vs Linfield played?
- Glentoran vs Linfield is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at BetMcLean Oval, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.