Larne vs Carrick Rangers: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Inver Park, Larne
The Footlab AI model makes Larne the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Carrick Rangers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Larne wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
Larne starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,803 vs 1,597).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Larne vs Carrick Rangers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Larne
4-3-3- 9P. O'Neill
- 30M. Lusty
- 45M. Gibson
- 6C. Gallagher
- 26D. Bent
- 15R. Doherty
- 4A. Donnelly
- 23T. Cosgrove
- 3M. Ridley
- 11S. Graham
- 1R. Ferguson
Carrick Rangers
4-3-3- 9D. Gibson
- 10A. Lecky
- 22P. Heatley
- 5J. Forsythe
- 14Aidan Daniel Steele
- 6J. Callacher
- 15B. Buchanan-Rolleston
- 3K. Nelson
- 30C. Hawthorne
- 12L. McCullough
- 1N. Gartside
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 01:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Larne have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Carrick Rangers have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Coleraine FC(home) | 2-3 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 5-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Cliftonville FC(home) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Portadown(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Linfield(home) | 2-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 4-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crusaders FC(home) | 4-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Glentoran(away) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Larne(home) | 2-5 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Larne wins, 0 draws, 2 Carrick Rangers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carrick Rangers 2-5 Larne | Premiership |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Larne 2-3 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-2 Larne | Premiership |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Larne 2-0 Carrick Rangers | Premiership |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-0 Larne | Premiership |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Carrick Rangers 1-2 Larne | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Carrick Rangers vs Larne on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Larne score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Carrick Rangers score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larne | 1.5 | 1.4 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Carrick Rangers | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Larne sit 4th in Premiership (19 points from 8 matches) and Carrick Rangers sit 5th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Larne | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 17 |
A question about Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Larne vs Carrick Rangers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Larne the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Carrick Rangers.
- Where and when is Larne vs Carrick Rangers played?
- Larne vs Carrick Rangers is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Inver Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.