Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Coleraine
The Footlab model makes Coleraine FC the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Ballymena United. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United?
Coleraine FC starts as the favourite with a 274-point Elo edge (1,756 vs 1,482).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coleraine FC have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Ballymena United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carrick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Larne(home) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(away) | 3-1 | Premiership |
| Jul 30, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Glentoran(home) | 0-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linfield(away) | 3-0 | Premiership |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Coleraine FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ballymena United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Coleraine FC 1-0 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Ballymena United 2-0 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Ballymena United 1-3 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Coleraine FC 2-2 Ballymena United | Premiership |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Ballymena United 0-1 Coleraine FC | Premiership |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Coleraine FC 4-2 Ballymena United | Premiership |
Last archived meeting: Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Coleraine FC score 2.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ballymena United score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleraine FC | 2.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Ballymena United | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coleraine FC sit 1st in Premiership (7 points from 3 matches) and Ballymena United sit 8th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Ballymena United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United?
- The Footlab model makes Coleraine FC the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Ballymena United.
- Where and when is Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United played?
- Coleraine FC vs Ballymena United is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.