Gnistan vs AC Oulu: prediction and stats
VeikkausliigaChampionship Group - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki
The Footlab AI model makes Gnistan the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for AC Oulu. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gnistan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gnistan vs AC Oulu?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Gnistan (1,735) and AC Oulu (1,689).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gnistan vs AC Oulu
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gnistan
5-4-1- 26R. Eremenko
- 7A. Atarah
- 15G. Europaeus
- 31A. Jouhi
- 11D. Pérez
- 67A. Obileye
- 12E. Arko-Mensah
- 3Ruxi
- 24P. Gnanou
- 19B. Milovanov
- 1O. Virtanen
AC Oulu
4-4-2- 7R. Karjalainen
- 10C. Triana
- 25M. Arsalo
- 21I. Mendolin
- 27E. Kallio
- 36J. Lotvonen
- 66J. Pirinen
- 22T. Kaukua
- 5M. Pitkänen
- 16O. Kemppainen
- 13Miguel Santos
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 07:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gnistan have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; AC Oulu have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | VPS(away) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AC Oulu(away) | 2-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(home) | 3-4 | Veikkausliiga |
| Oct 8, 2026 | KuPS(away) | 1-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gnistan(home) | 1-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 8, 2026 | VPS(away) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Gnistan wins, 0 draws, 1 AC Oulu win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | AC Oulu 1-2 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | AC Oulu 0-2 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Gnistan 1-5 AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Gnistan 3-2 AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
| May 10, 2025 | AC Oulu 2-3 Gnistan | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Gnistan 1-0 AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Gnistan score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; AC Oulu score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gnistan | 1.5 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| AC Oulu | 0.8 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gnistan sit 4th in Veikkausliiga (42 points from 27 matches) and AC Oulu sit 6th (37 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gnistan | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 33 | 42 |
| 6 | AC Oulu | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 37 |
A question about Gnistan vs AC Oulu?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gnistan vs AC Oulu?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gnistan the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for AC Oulu.
- Where and when is Gnistan vs AC Oulu played?
- Gnistan vs AC Oulu is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mustapekka Areena, in the Veikkausliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.