Gobelins vs Concarneau: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 25Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Pelé, Paris
The Footlab model makes Concarneau the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Gobelins. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gobelins vs Concarneau?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Gobelins (1,725) and Concarneau (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gobelins have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Concarneau have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Valenciennes(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Villefranche(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Quevilly(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Caen(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Quevilly(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Laval(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gobelins win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Concarneau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Concarneau 0-0 Gobelins | Ligue 3 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Gobelins 0-0 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| May 16, 2025 | Gobelins 2-1 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Concarneau 2-0 Gobelins | Ligue 3 |
| Apr 14, 2023 | Concarneau 3-0 Gobelins | Ligue 3 |
| Nov 25, 2022 | Gobelins 1-1 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Concarneau vs Gobelins on Apr 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gobelins score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Concarneau score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gobelins | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Concarneau | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gobelins sit 8th in Ligue 3 (6 points from 3 matches) and Concarneau sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gobelins | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Concarneau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gobelins vs Concarneau?
- The Footlab model makes Concarneau the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Gobelins.
- Where and when is Gobelins vs Concarneau played?
- Gobelins vs Concarneau is played on March 20, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Pelé, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.