Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Stal Brzeg: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Panatoni Arena, Goczałkowice-Zdrój
The Footlab model makes Goczałkowice Zdrój the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Stal Brzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Stal Brzeg?
Goczałkowice Zdrój starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Stal Brzeg have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Stal Brzeg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stal Brzeg 1-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Stal Brzeg 0-0 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 2-0 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 27, 2023 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 3-1 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Stal Brzeg 3-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 7, 2022 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-0 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Stal Brzeg vs Goczałkowice Zdrój on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Stal Brzeg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Stal Brzeg sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Stal Brzeg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Stal Brzeg?
- The Footlab model makes Goczałkowice Zdrój the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Stal Brzeg.
- Where and when is Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Stal Brzeg played?
- Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Stal Brzeg is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Panatoni Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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