Sparta Katowice vs Zagłębie Lubin II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rapid, Katowice
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Zagłębie Lubin II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Sparta Katowice (1,832) and Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Katowice have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Zagłębie Lubin II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Sparta Katowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II 1-0 Sparta Katowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Zagłębie Lubin II 2-0 Sparta Katowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Sparta Katowice 3-3 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Katowice | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Zagłębie Lubin II | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Katowice sit 5th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 5 | Sparta Katowice | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Katowice vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Zagłębie Lubin II.
- Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs Zagłębie Lubin II played?
- Sparta Katowice vs Zagłębie Lubin II is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Zaglebie SosnowiecvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Nov 21, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Nov 21, 2026KluczborkvsBarycz Sułów
- Nov 21, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsCarina Gubin
- Nov 21, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsStilon Gorzów
- Nov 21, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsStal Brzeg
- Nov 21, 2026Warta GorzówvsROW Rybnik
- Nov 21, 2026SłowianinvsGórnik Polkowice