Match

Sparta Katowice vs Zagłębie Lubin II: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rapid, Katowice

Sparta KatowiceZagłębie Lubin II

The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Zagłębie Lubin II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sparta Katowice vs Zagłębie Lubin II?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Sparta Katowice (1,832) and Zagłębie Lubin II (1,774).

Sparta Katowice win57 %
Draw22 %
Zagłębie Lubin II win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Katowice have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Zagłębie Lubin II have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sparta Katowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Stal Brzeg(away)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Stilon Gorzów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Zagłębie Lubin II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
Zagłębie Lubin II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Miedź Legnica II(home)3-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Kluczbork(away)3-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026Rakow II(home)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Polonia Nysa(away)2-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Sparta Katowice(home)1-0III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Sparta Katowice win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Zagłębie Lubin II 1-0 Sparta KatowiceIII Liga - Group 3
Nov 21, 2025Zagłębie Lubin II 2-0 Sparta KatowiceIII Liga - Group 3
Aug 2, 2025Sparta Katowice 3-3 Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Zagłębie Lubin II vs Sparta Katowice on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sparta Katowice1.90.968/159/15
Zagłębie Lubin II1.72.0210/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sparta Katowice sit 5th in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Zagłębie Lubin II532011711
5Sparta Katowice53118410

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sparta Katowice vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Zagłębie Lubin II.
Where and when is Sparta Katowice vs Zagłębie Lubin II played?
Sparta Katowice vs Zagłębie Lubin II is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rapid, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sparta Katowice and Zagłębie Lubin II

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