Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)ArcelorMittal Park, Sosnowiec
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Górnik Polkowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Barycz Sułów(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karkonosze Jelenia Góra score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaglebie Sosnowiec sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 3 (10 points from 5 matches) and Karkonosze Jelenia Góra sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra?
- The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Sosnowiec the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra.
- Where and when is Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra played?
- Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at ArcelorMittal Park, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Nov 21, 2026KluczborkvsBarycz Sułów
- Nov 21, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsCarina Gubin
- Nov 21, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsStilon Gorzów
- Nov 21, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsStal Brzeg
- Nov 21, 2026Warta GorzówvsROW Rybnik
- Nov 21, 2026Sparta KatowicevsZagłębie Lubin II
- Nov 21, 2026SłowianinvsGórnik Polkowice