Gol Gohar vs Arkadag: prediction and stats
AFC Champions League TwoGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Gol Gohar Sport Complex, Sirjan
The Footlab AI model makes Arkadag the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Gol Gohar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arkadag wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,905 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gol Gohar vs Arkadag?
Arkadag starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,760).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gol Gohar vs Arkadag
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gol Gohar
5-3-2- 10M. Aliyari
- 20Mohammadreza Abbasi
- 11M. Goudarzi
- 4A. Alizadeh
- 99L. Ben Hassine
- 5M. Kor
- 19P. Ghazipour
- 3E. Hosseini
- 2M. Najarian
- 6M. E. Masoumi
- 1F. Garousian
Arkadag
5-4-1- 7A. Annadurdyýew
- 27Y. Gurbanov
- 88A. Ataýew
- 9R. Myratberdiýew
- 13V. Ballakov
- 12Y. Mammedov
- 20A. Sapargulyyev
- 5A. Bashimov
- 4M. Saparow
- 2G. Annagulyýew
- 1R. Ahallyyev
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gol Gohar have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Arkadag have 14, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Esteghlal FC(away) | 0-1 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Muharraq(away) | 0-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Esteghlal Khuzestan(home) | 3-0 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Al-Jazira(home) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shams Azar Qazvin(away) | 3-2 | Persian Gulf Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al-Jazira(away) | 1-2 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Muharraq(home) | 1-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nebitci(away) | 4-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 5-2 | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Gol Gohar score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arkadag score 4.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gol Gohar | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Arkadag | 4.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gol Gohar sit 4th in AFC Champions League Two (1 point from 2 matches) and Arkadag sit 2nd (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arkadag | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Gol Gohar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
A question about Gol Gohar vs Arkadag?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gol Gohar vs Arkadag?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arkadag the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Gol Gohar.
- Where and when is Gol Gohar vs Arkadag played?
- Gol Gohar vs Arkadag is played on October 28, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Gol Gohar Sport Complex, in the AFC Champions League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.