Golden Arrows vs Orlando Pirates: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, Durban
The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Golden Arrows. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Golden Arrows vs Orlando Pirates?
Orlando Pirates starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Golden Arrows have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; Orlando Pirates have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chippa United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 2-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Golden Arrows win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Orlando Pirates win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | Orlando Pirates 5-0 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Golden Arrows 1-3 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| May 13, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 3-0 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| May 6, 2025 | Golden Arrows 1-2 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Orlando Pirates 7-1 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Golden Arrows 1-2 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Orlando Pirates vs Golden Arrows on Apr 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Golden Arrows score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando Pirates score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Arrows | 0.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Orlando Pirates | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Golden Arrows sit 9th in Premier Soccer League (3 points from 3 matches) and Orlando Pirates sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Golden Arrows | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Golden Arrows vs Orlando Pirates?
- The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Golden Arrows.
- Where and when is Golden Arrows vs Orlando Pirates played?
- Golden Arrows vs Orlando Pirates is played on February 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.