Golden Arrows vs Polokwane City: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, Durban
The Footlab model makes Golden Arrows the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Polokwane City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Golden Arrows vs Polokwane City?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Golden Arrows (1,803) and Polokwane City (1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Golden Arrows have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; Polokwane City have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chippa United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 3-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 2-3 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 2-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Golden Arrows win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Polokwane City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Golden Arrows 0-0 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Polokwane City 2-1 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Polokwane City 0-1 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Golden Arrows 0-0 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Polokwane City 0-1 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Golden Arrows 3-2 Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Golden Arrows vs Polokwane City on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Golden Arrows score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Polokwane City score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Arrows | 0.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Polokwane City | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Golden Arrows sit 9th in Premier Soccer League (3 points from 3 matches) and Polokwane City sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Polokwane City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Golden Arrows | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Golden Arrows vs Polokwane City?
- The Footlab model makes Golden Arrows the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Polokwane City.
- Where and when is Golden Arrows vs Polokwane City played?
- Golden Arrows vs Polokwane City is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.