Mamelodi Sundowns vs Chippa United: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Loftus Versfeld Stadium, Tshwane
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 68%, against 22% for a draw and 10% for Chippa United. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,576 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Chippa United?
Mamelodi Sundowns is a heavy favourite: 2,090 Elo points against 1,698, a 393-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Chippa United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mamelodi Sundowns
4-2-3-1- 13I. Rayners
- 4T. Mokoena
- 17T. Matthews
- 11M. Allende
- 33C. Mailula
- 38S. Mthanti
- 3K. Ndamane
- 42Malibongwe Khoza
- 22T. Matuludi
- 23F. Basadien
- 30R. Williams
Chippa United
4-3-3- 7J. Figuareido
- 10A. Matrose
- 29N. Mlotshwa
- 20G. Mosele
- 21S. Seabi
- 15A. Tshobeni
- 22A. Mobara
- 35H. Majadibodu
- 31I. Jones
- 28B. Madingwane
- 23S. Nwabali
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mamelodi Sundowns have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Chippa United have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 4-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 2-0 | 8 Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 2-1 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Siwelele(home) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 1-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Siwelele(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(home) | 0-3 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mamelodi Sundowns wins, 2 draws, 0 Chippa United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chippa United 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1 Chippa United | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Chippa United 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| May 14, 2025 | Chippa United 0-3 Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League |
| May 7, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Chippa United | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Chippa United | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chippa United score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Chippa United | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st in Premier Soccer League (23 points from 9 matches) and Chippa United sit 9th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 23 |
| 9 | Chippa United | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Mamelodi Sundowns vs Chippa United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Chippa United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 68%, against 22% for a draw and 10% for Chippa United.
- Where and when is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Chippa United played?
- Mamelodi Sundowns vs Chippa United is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.