Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg, GA
The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 73%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for Marumo Gallants. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants?
Orlando Pirates is a heavy favourite: 2,026 Elo points against 1,659 — a 367-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando Pirates have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Marumo Gallants have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 2-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stellenbosch(away) | 1-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kruger United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Polokwane City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Orlando Pirates win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Marumo Gallants win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Orlando Pirates 3-0 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 1-0 Marumo Gallants | League Cup |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Marumo Gallants 2-1 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Orlando Pirates 1-0 Marumo Gallants | Cup |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Marumo Gallants 2-0 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 24, 2024 | Orlando Pirates 8-1 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orlando Pirates score 1.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Marumo Gallants score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Marumo Gallants | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orlando Pirates sit 1st in Premier Soccer League (7 points from 3 matches) and Marumo Gallants sit 16th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 16 | Marumo Gallants | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants?
- The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 73%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for Marumo Gallants.
- Where and when is Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants played?
- Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Orlando Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.