Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 26Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Gonio the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Merani Tbilisi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gonio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,597 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Gonio (1,381) and Merani Tbilisi (1,311).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gonio
4-3-3- 12L. Ingorokva
- 37M. Twickenham
- 17Z. Beridze
- 6O. Mamasakhlisi
- 20Igor Dutra
- 23E. Jijavadze
- 3I. Komakhidze
- 16J. Kasrelishvili
- 27R. Chachua
- 5Davit Samsonia
- 19Y. Kotlyarov
Merani Tbilisi
Not enough data to predict the Merani Tbilisi lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gonio have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Merani Tbilisi have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Irao(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | WIT Georgia(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Varketili(home) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Guria(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Saburtalo II(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Iberia 2010(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Kolkheti Khobi(home) | 4-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Margveti 2006(away) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Gonio win, 1 draw, 1 Merani Tbilisi win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Merani Tbilisi 1-1 Gonio | Liga 3 |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Gonio 2-5 Merani Tbilisi | Liga 3 |
| Jun 5, 2024 | Merani Tbilisi 0-3 Gonio | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Merani Tbilisi vs Gonio on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gonio score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Merani Tbilisi score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonio | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Merani Tbilisi | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gonio sit 6th in Liga 3 (38 points from 23 matches) and Merani Tbilisi sit 4th (40 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Merani Tbilisi | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 29 | 40 |
| 6 | Gonio | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 24 | 38 |
A question about Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gonio the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Merani Tbilisi.
- Where and when is Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi played?
- Gonio vs Merani Tbilisi is played on October 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.