Guria vs WIT Georgia: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 26Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Stadioni Evgrapi Shevardnadze, Lanchkhuti
The Footlab model makes Guria the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for WIT Georgia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guria vs WIT Georgia?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Guria (1,375) and WIT Georgia (1,390).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guria have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; WIT Georgia have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Saburtalo II(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Merani Tbilisi(away) | 5-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti(home) | 1-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 1-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Kolkheti Khobi(away) | 2-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Margveti 2006(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Gardabani(away) | 5-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Samgurali(home) | 2-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Dmanisi(away) | 3-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Guria win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 WIT Georgia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | WIT Georgia 1-0 Guria | Liga 3 |
| Nov 25, 2017 | WIT Georgia 1-0 Guria | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 22, 2017 | Guria 0-1 WIT Georgia | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jun 22, 2017 | WIT Georgia 0-0 Guria | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 30, 2017 | Guria 0-0 WIT Georgia | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Guria 4-1 WIT Georgia | Erovnuli Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guria score 2.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; WIT Georgia score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guria | 2.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| WIT Georgia | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guria sit 2nd in Liga 3 (39 points from 18 matches) and WIT Georgia sit 8th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guria | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 11 | 39 |
| 8 | WIT Georgia | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 18 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guria vs WIT Georgia?
- The Footlab model makes Guria the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for WIT Georgia.
- Where and when is Guria vs WIT Georgia played?
- Guria vs WIT Georgia is played on October 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Stadioni Evgrapi Shevardnadze, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.