GOR Mahia vs Posta Rangers FC: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Nyayo National Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab model makes GOR Mahia the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Posta Rangers FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs Posta Rangers FC?
GOR Mahia starts as the favourite with a 260-point Elo edge (1,674 vs 1,414).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GOR Mahia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Posta Rangers FC have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 1-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri(home) | 1-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Vipers(home) | 0-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 24, 2026 | APR(away) | 5-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | KCB(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Nairobi United(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 11, 2026 | Sofapaka(home) | 3-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Bandari(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 GOR Mahia win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Posta Rangers FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC 1-1 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | GOR Mahia 3-0 Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | GOR Mahia 2-1 Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Posta Rangers FC 0-3 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | GOR Mahia 4-0 Posta Rangers FC | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Posta Rangers FC 0-1 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Posta Rangers FC vs GOR Mahia on Mar 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GOR Mahia score 1.1 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Posta Rangers FC score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOR Mahia | 1.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Posta Rangers FC | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GOR Mahia sit 1st in FKF Premier League (69 points from 34 matches) and Posta Rangers FC sit 15th (40 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50 | 22 | 69 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers FC | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31 | 40 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GOR Mahia vs Posta Rangers FC?
- The Footlab model makes GOR Mahia the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Posta Rangers FC.
- Where and when is GOR Mahia vs Posta Rangers FC played?
- GOR Mahia vs Posta Rangers FC is played on March 7, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Nyayo National Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.