Górnik Łęczna vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bogdanka Arena, Łęczna
The Footlab model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
Sandecja Nowy Sącz starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,920 vs 1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Łęczna have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Sandecja Nowy Sącz have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(home) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 0-1 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Górnik Łęczna win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1-1 Górnik Łęczna | II Liga - East |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz 3-0 Górnik Łęczna | I Liga |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Górnik Łęczna 1-1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz | I Liga |
| Jun 13, 2021 | Górnik Łęczna 3-0 Sandecja Nowy Sącz | I Liga |
| Dec 13, 2020 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1-1 Górnik Łęczna | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Górnik Łęczna on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sandecja Nowy Sącz score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Górnik Łęczna | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 1.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Górnik Łęczna sit 8th in II Liga - East (7 points from 5 matches) and Sandecja Nowy Sącz sit 6th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 | Górnik Łęczna | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Górnik Łęczna vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
- The Footlab model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Górnik Łęczna.
- Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz played?
- Górnik Łęczna vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Olimpia GrudziądzvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Mar 6, 2027Hutnik KrakówvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Mar 6, 2027Resovia RzeszówvsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Mar 6, 2027Stal Stalowa WolavsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Mar 6, 2027Śląsk Wrocław IIvsTychy 71
- Mar 6, 2027Świt SkolwinvsZnicz Pruszków
- Mar 6, 2027Zawisza BydgoszczvsAvia Świdnik
- Mar 6, 2027Sokół KleczewvsLegia Warszawa II