Match

Górnik Łęczna vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bogdanka Arena, Łęczna

Górnik ŁęcznaSandecja Nowy Sącz

The Footlab model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?

Sandecja Nowy Sącz starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,920 vs 1,777).

Górnik Łęczna win29 %
Draw25 %
Sandecja Nowy Sącz win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Łęczna have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Sandecja Nowy Sącz have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Górnik Łęczna
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026Podhale Nowy Targ(home)5-2II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026Śląsk Wrocław II(away)0-2II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Kalisz(home)2-0Cup
Aug 1, 2026Avia Świdnik(home)0-1II Liga - East
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Górnik Łęczna(home)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 15, 2026Świt Skolwin(away)1-0II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026Avia Świdnik(away)0-3II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home)3-0Cup
Aug 2, 2026Chojniczanka Chojnice(home)3-0II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Górnik Łęczna win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1-1 Górnik ŁęcznaII Liga - East
Feb 10, 2023Sandecja Nowy Sącz 3-0 Górnik ŁęcznaI Liga
Jul 24, 2022Górnik Łęczna 1-1 Sandecja Nowy SączI Liga
Jun 13, 2021Górnik Łęczna 3-0 Sandecja Nowy SączI Liga
Dec 13, 2020Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1-1 Górnik ŁęcznaI Liga

Last archived meeting: Sandecja Nowy Sącz vs Górnik Łęczna on Aug 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sandecja Nowy Sącz score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Górnik Łęczna1.31.918/158/15
Sandecja Nowy Sącz1.50.986/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Górnik Łęczna sit 8th in II Liga - East (7 points from 5 matches) and Sandecja Nowy Sącz sit 6th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Sandecja Nowy Sącz5221548
8Górnik Łęczna5212987

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Górnik Łęczna vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
The Footlab model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Górnik Łęczna.
Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz played?
Górnik Łęczna vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Górnik Łęczna and Sandecja Nowy Sącz

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