Hutnik Kraków vs Lechia Zielona Góra: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Suche Stawy, Kraków
The Footlab model makes Hutnik Kraków the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Lechia Zielona Góra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hutnik Kraków vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Hutnik Kraków (1,866) and Lechia Zielona Góra (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hutnik Kraków have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lechia Zielona Góra have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(home) | 2-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(away) | 5-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Podbeskidzie(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hutnik Kraków(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 6-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hutnik Kraków win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lechia Zielona Góra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra 1-1 Hutnik Kraków | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Lechia Zielona Góra vs Hutnik Kraków on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hutnik Kraków score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hutnik Kraków | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Lechia Zielona Góra | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hutnik Kraków sit 1st in II Liga - East (11 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hutnik Kraków | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hutnik Kraków vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
- The Footlab model makes Hutnik Kraków the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Lechia Zielona Góra.
- Where and when is Hutnik Kraków vs Lechia Zielona Góra played?
- Hutnik Kraków vs Lechia Zielona Góra is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Suche Stawy, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Olimpia GrudziądzvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Mar 6, 2027Górnik ŁęcznavsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Mar 6, 2027Resovia RzeszówvsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Mar 6, 2027Stal Stalowa WolavsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Mar 6, 2027Śląsk Wrocław IIvsTychy 71
- Mar 6, 2027Świt SkolwinvsZnicz Pruszków
- Mar 6, 2027Zawisza BydgoszczvsAvia Świdnik
- Mar 6, 2027Sokół KleczewvsLegia Warszawa II