Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Warta Gorzów played?

Górnik Polkowice vs Warta Gorzów is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Górnik Polkowice vs Warta Gorzów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Górnik, Polkowice

Górnik Polkowice

Warta Gorzów

The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Warta Gorzów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Warta Gorzów?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Górnik Polkowice (1,839) and Warta Gorzów (1,764).

Górnik Polkowice win52 %

Draw23 %

Warta Gorzów win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Polkowice have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Warta Gorzów have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Górnik Polkowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Warta Gorzów(away)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026	Miedź Legnica II(home)	3-3	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Kluczbork(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Rakow II(home)	5-4	III Liga - Group 3

Warta Gorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Górnik Polkowice(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Barycz Sułów(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Carina Gubin(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	1-5	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Górnik Polkowice win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Warta Gorzów win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Warta Gorzów 0-0 Górnik Polkowice	III Liga - Group 3
Apr 4, 2026	Warta Gorzów 1-1 Górnik Polkowice	III Liga - Group 3
Feb 10, 2026	Górnik Polkowice 2-2 Warta Gorzów	Friendlies Clubs
Sep 12, 2025	Górnik Polkowice 2-2 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2025	Górnik Polkowice 1-0 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Oct 19, 2024	Warta Gorzów 0-3 Górnik Polkowice	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Górnik Polkowice on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Górnik Polkowice score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Górnik Polkowice	2.3	2.1	3	11/15	13/15
Warta Gorzów	0.9	1.4	6	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Górnik Polkowice sit 9th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Warta Gorzów sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Górnik Polkowice	5	2	2	1	11	10	8
10	Warta Gorzów	5	2	2	1	6	8	8

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Górnik Polkowice vs Warta Gorzów?: The Footlab model makes Górnik Polkowice the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Warta Gorzów.
Where and when is Górnik Polkowice vs Warta Gorzów played?: Górnik Polkowice vs Warta Gorzów is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Górnik, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.