Match

Stal Brzeg vs SKRA Częstochowa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Brzeg

Stal BrzegSKRA Częstochowa

The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for SKRA Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stal Brzeg vs SKRA Częstochowa?

SKRA Częstochowa starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,629).

Stal Brzeg win43 %
Draw25 %
SKRA Częstochowa win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Brzeg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; SKRA Częstochowa have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stal Brzeg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Rakow II(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Nysa(away)2-3III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Sparta Katowice(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 7, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)5-1III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)1-1III Liga - Group 3
SKRA Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Słowianin(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
May 22, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)4-0III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
May 9, 2026Górnik Zabrze II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stal Brzeg1.51.347/156/15
SKRA Częstochowa2.01.349/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Stal Brzeg52211268

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stal Brzeg vs SKRA Częstochowa?
The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for SKRA Częstochowa.
Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs SKRA Częstochowa played?
Stal Brzeg vs SKRA Częstochowa is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Stal Brzeg and SKRA Częstochowa

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