Match

Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Panatoni Arena, Goczałkowice-Zdrój

Goczałkowice ZdrójSparta Katowice

The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Goczałkowice Zdrój. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice?

A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737) and Sparta Katowice (1,832).

Goczałkowice Zdrój win32 %
Draw27 %
Sparta Katowice win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Goczałkowice Zdrój
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Nysa(home)2-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)0-2III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away)0-2III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026Stal Brzeg(away)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Sparta Katowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 14, 2026Stal Brzeg(away)1-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026Stilon Gorzów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026Zagłębie Lubin II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sparta Katowice win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Sparta Katowice 2-1 Goczałkowice ZdrójIII Liga - Group 3
Mar 28, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-0 Sparta KatowiceIII Liga - Group 3
Sep 6, 2025Sparta Katowice 0-0 Goczałkowice ZdrójIII Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój on Aug 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Goczałkowice Zdrój0.91.547/158/15
Sparta Katowice1.90.968/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Katowice sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Sparta Katowice53118410
14Goczałkowice Zdrój5113474

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice?
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
Where and when is Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice played?
Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Panatoni Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Goczałkowice Zdrój and Sparta Katowice

Ready to know everything about football?