Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 21Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Panatoni Arena, Goczałkowice-Zdrój
The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Goczałkowice Zdrój. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737) and Sparta Katowice (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sparta Katowice have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stal Brzeg(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stilon Gorzów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zagłębie Lubin II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sparta Katowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sparta Katowice 2-1 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój 1-0 Sparta Katowice | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Sparta Katowice 0-0 Goczałkowice Zdrój | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Katowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój on Aug 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Katowice score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goczałkowice Zdrój | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sparta Katowice | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th in III Liga - Group 3 (4 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Katowice sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sparta Katowice | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Katowice the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
- Where and when is Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice played?
- Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Panatoni Arena, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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