Gozzano vs Sanremese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Alfredo D'Albertas, Gozzano
The Footlab model makes Sanremese the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Gozzano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gozzano vs Sanremese?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Gozzano (1,727) and Sanremese (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gozzano have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Sanremese have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pro Patria(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Derthona(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | Cairese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Biellese(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sestri Levante(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Club Milano(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Imperia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Derthona(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Saluzzo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gozzano win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Sanremese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Gozzano 0-1 Sanremese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Sanremese 1-1 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Sanremese 0-1 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Gozzano 1-0 Sanremese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Gozzano 0-1 Sanremese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Sanremese 1-2 Gozzano | Serie D - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gozzano score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sanremese score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gozzano | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Sanremese | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gozzano sit 15th in Serie D - Girone A (39 points from 34 matches) and Sanremese sit 7th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37 | 30 | 49 |
| 15 | Gozzano | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 42 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gozzano vs Sanremese?
- The Footlab model makes Sanremese the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Gozzano.
- Where and when is Gozzano vs Sanremese played?
- Gozzano vs Sanremese is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Alfredo D'Albertas, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.