Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla: result 4-2 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Stefano Vicino, Gravina in Puglia
Full time
What was the result of Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla?
Gravina won 4-2 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 30′625058Gravina
- 45′685098Virtus Francavilla
- 63′582071Gravina
- 72′642580Gravina
- 80′625058Gravina
- 86′M. AhmetajVirtus Francavilla
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Virtus Francavilla win at 40%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gravina have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Virtus Francavilla have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Turris(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gladiator(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gladiator(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Martina Franca(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Melfi(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 6, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Gravina win, 2 draws, 1 Virtus Francavilla win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla 0-1 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Gravina 0-0 Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Virtus Francavilla 1-1 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Gravina 0-1 Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gravina score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Francavilla score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gravina | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Virtus Francavilla | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gravina sit 7th in Serie D - Girone H (13 points from 8 matches) and Virtus Francavilla sit 1st (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Gravina | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 13 |
A question about Gravina vs Virtus Francavilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy