Melfi vs Nocerina: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Arturo Valerio, Melfi
Full time
What was the result of Melfi vs Nocerina?
Nocerina won 0-1 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 8′F. CardellaNocerina
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Nocerina win at 53%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melfi have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Nocerina have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ebolitana(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bisceglie(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ischia(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Manfredonia(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ebolitana(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Melfi score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nocerina score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melfi | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Nocerina | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melfi sit 18th in Serie D - Girone H (4 points from 7 matches) and Nocerina sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nocerina | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 18 | Melfi | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Melfi vs Nocerina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy