Grbalj vs Lovćen: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Donja Sutvara, Radanovići
The Footlab model makes Grbalj the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Lovćen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grbalj vs Lovćen?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Grbalj (1,346) and Lovćen (1,278).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grbalj have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Lovćen have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mogren(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zeta(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Bokelj(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| May 29, 2026 | Bokelj(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Internacional Podgorica(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jedinstvo(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mladost Lješkopolje(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Iskra(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Igalo(away) | 4-2 | Second League |
| May 20, 2026 | Kom(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Grbalj win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Lovćen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lovćen 0-2 Grbalj | Second League |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Grbalj 1-0 Lovćen | Second League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Lovćen 0-2 Grbalj | Second League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Grbalj 2-0 Lovćen | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Lovćen 1-1 Grbalj | Second League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Grbalj 2-2 Lovćen | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Grbalj score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lovćen score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grbalj | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Lovćen | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grbalj sit 3rd in Second League (4 points from 2 matches) and Lovćen sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grbalj | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Lovćen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grbalj vs Lovćen?
- The Footlab model makes Grbalj the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Lovćen.
- Where and when is Grbalj vs Lovćen played?
- Grbalj vs Lovćen is played on September 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Donja Sutvara, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.