Grebbestad vs Skara: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 23Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Siljevi 1, Grebbestad
The Footlab model makes Skara the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Grebbestad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grebbestad vs Skara?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Grebbestad (1,465) and Skara (1,544).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grebbestad have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Skara have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stenungsund(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ahlafors(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IFK Skövde(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | IF Karlstad II(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Kumla(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tord(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Husqvarna(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Vänersborgs FK(home) | 4-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Stenungsund(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Herrestads(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Grebbestad win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Skara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Skara 3-1 Grebbestad | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Skara 0-3 Grebbestad | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Grebbestad 4-2 Skara | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
How many goals should we expect?
Grebbestad score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Skara score 2.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grebbestad | 2.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Skara | 2.0 | 0.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grebbestad sit 5th in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (22 points from 13 matches) and Skara sit 2nd (30 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Skara | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 17 | 30 |
| 2 | Skara | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 40 |
| 5 | Grebbestad | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 22 |
| 5 | Grebbestad | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grebbestad vs Skara?
- The Footlab model makes Skara the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Grebbestad.
- Where and when is Grebbestad vs Skara played?
- Grebbestad vs Skara is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Siljevi 1, in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.