Tord vs Stenungsund: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 23Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Rosenlunds IP 3, Jönköping
The Footlab model makes Stenungsund the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Tord. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tord vs Stenungsund?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Tord (1,364) and Stenungsund (1,400).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tord have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Stenungsund have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Skara(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Motala(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Herrestads(away) | 2-3 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kumla(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ahlafors(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grebbestad(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kumla(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lidköping(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Skara(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Trollhättan(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tord win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Stenungsund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Stenungsund 1-1 Tord | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
How many goals should we expect?
Tord score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Stenungsund score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tord | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Stenungsund | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tord sit 13th in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (7 points from 13 matches) and Stenungsund sit 6th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stenungsund | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 18 |
| 7 | Stenungsund | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 25 | 26 |
| 12 | Tord | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 32 | 12 |
| 13 | Tord | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tord vs Stenungsund?
- The Footlab model makes Stenungsund the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Tord.
- Where and when is Tord vs Stenungsund played?
- Tord vs Stenungsund is played on September 27, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Rosenlunds IP 3, in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.