Where and when is NAPSA Stars vs Nkana played?

NAPSA Stars vs Nkana is played on October 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at REIZ Arena, in the Super League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

NAPSA Stars vs Nkana: prediction and stats

Super LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)REIZ Arena, Lusaka

NAPSA Stars

Nkana

The Footlab model makes NAPSA Stars the favourite at 38%, against 36% for a draw and 26% for Nkana. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win NAPSA Stars vs Nkana?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate NAPSA Stars (1,518) and Nkana (1,562).

NAPSA Stars win38 %

Draw36 %

Nkana win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NAPSA Stars have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Nkana have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

NAPSA Stars
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Mutondo Stars(home)	1-0	Super League
May 17, 2026	Konkola Blades(away)	0-0	Super League
May 12, 2026	Zanaco(home)	2-0	Super League
May 3, 2026	Kabwe Warriors(away)	0-1	Super League
Apr 30, 2026	Nkana(home)	1-1	Super League

Nkana
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Kansanshi Dynamos(away)	0-0	Super League
May 17, 2026	Man Utd Zambia Academy(home)	1-2	Super League
May 13, 2026	ZESCO United(away)	1-0	Super League
May 3, 2026	Nchanga Rangers(home)	0-1	Super League
Apr 30, 2026	NAPSA Stars(away)	1-1	Super League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NAPSA Stars win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Nkana win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 30, 2026	NAPSA Stars 1-1 Nkana	Super League
Nov 30, 2025	Nkana 1-0 NAPSA Stars	Super League
Jan 25, 2025	Nkana 0-1 NAPSA Stars	Super League
Sep 14, 2024	NAPSA Stars 0-1 Nkana	Super League
Mar 16, 2024	NAPSA Stars 1-0 Nkana	Super League
Oct 21, 2023	Nkana 1-1 NAPSA Stars	Super League

Last archived meeting: NAPSA Stars vs Nkana on Apr 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

NAPSA Stars score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nkana score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
NAPSA Stars	0.9	1.1	5	7/15	4/15
Nkana	0.7	0.9	4	6/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

NAPSA Stars sit 15th in Super League (36 points from 34 matches) and Nkana sit 13th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Nkana	34	9	12	13	23	30	39
15	NAPSA Stars	34	8	12	14	25	33	36

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for NAPSA Stars vs Nkana?: The Footlab model makes NAPSA Stars the favourite at 38%, against 36% for a draw and 26% for Nkana.
Where and when is NAPSA Stars vs Nkana played?: NAPSA Stars vs Nkana is played on October 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at REIZ Arena, in the Super League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.