Match

Greenville Triumph vs Corpus Christi: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Paladin Stadium, Greenville, South Carolina

Greenville TriumphCorpus Christi

The Footlab model makes Greenville Triumph the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Corpus Christi. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Greenville Triumph vs Corpus Christi?

Corpus Christi starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,728 vs 1,624).

Greenville Triumph win36 %
Draw28 %
Corpus Christi win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greenville Triumph have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Corpus Christi have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Greenville Triumph
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Spokane Velocity(away)1-2USL League One
Aug 15, 2026One Knoxville(home)1-1USL League One
Aug 13, 2026Forward Madison(away)1-1USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Charlotte Independence(away)0-1USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(home)3-3USL League One
Corpus Christi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Westchester SC(home)2-2USL League One
Aug 20, 2026NY Cosmos(home)0-2USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Spokane Velocity(away)3-2USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(away)2-0USL League One
Aug 2, 2026Boise(away)0-0USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Greenville Triumph win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Corpus Christi win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2026Corpus Christi 1-0 Greenville TriumphUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Corpus Christi vs Greenville Triumph on Jul 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Greenville Triumph score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Corpus Christi score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Greenville Triumph1.11.628/159/15
Corpus Christi1.31.167/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Greenville Triumph sit 15th in USL League One (20 points from 21 matches) and Corpus Christi sit 9th (30 points from 23 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Corpus Christi23797283230
15Greenville Triumph215511233520

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Greenville Triumph vs Corpus Christi?
The Footlab model makes Greenville Triumph the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Corpus Christi.
Where and when is Greenville Triumph vs Corpus Christi played?
Greenville Triumph vs Corpus Christi is played on September 16, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Paladin Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Greenville Triumph and Corpus Christi

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