Where and when is Greenville Triumph vs Naples played?

Greenville Triumph vs Naples is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Paladin Stadium, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Greenville Triumph vs Naples: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Paladin Stadium, Greenville, South Carolina

Greenville Triumph

Naples

The Footlab model makes Greenville Triumph the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Naples. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Greenville Triumph vs Naples?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Greenville Triumph (1,607) and Naples (1,605).

Greenville Triumph win46 %

Draw26 %

Naples win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Greenville Triumph have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Naples have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Greenville Triumph
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Spokane Velocity(away)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	One Knoxville(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	0-1	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(home)	3-3	USL League One

Naples
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Alta(away)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Westchester SC(away)	2-3	USL League One
Aug 5, 2026	Alta(home)	2-1	USL League One
Jul 25, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	1-3	USL League One
Jul 11, 2026	Tampa Bay Rowdies(away)	0-2	USL League One Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Greenville Triumph win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Naples win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	Naples 1-0 Greenville Triumph	USL League One
Sep 6, 2025	Naples 2-1 Greenville Triumph	USL League One
Jul 26, 2025	Greenville Triumph 2-1 Naples	USL League One Cup
Jun 7, 2025	Greenville Triumph 1-1 Naples	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Naples vs Greenville Triumph on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Greenville Triumph score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Naples score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Greenville Triumph	1.1	1.6	2	8/15	9/15
Naples	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Greenville Triumph sit 15th in USL League One (20 points from 21 matches) and Naples sit 11th (23 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Naples	21	7	2	12	25	35	23
15	Greenville Triumph	21	5	5	11	23	35	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Greenville Triumph vs Naples?: The Footlab model makes Greenville Triumph the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Naples.
Where and when is Greenville Triumph vs Naples played?: Greenville Triumph vs Naples is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Paladin Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.