Hertha BSC II vs Lokomotive Leipzig: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 21Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Olympiapark-Amateurstadion, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Hertha BSC II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hertha BSC II vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
Lokomotive Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,989 vs 1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Lokomotive Leipzig have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | BFC Dynamo(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Altglienicke(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Greifswalder FC(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 5, 2026 | BFC Preussen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Magdeburg II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hertha BSC II win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Lokomotive Leipzig win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig 1-2 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig 4-0 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Hertha BSC II 2-7 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Lokomotive Leipzig 4-1 Hertha BSC II | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 0-6 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Hertha BSC II 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotive Leipzig vs Hertha BSC II on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hertha BSC II score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC II | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Lokomotive Leipzig | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hertha BSC II sit 14th in Regionalliga - Nordost (4 points from 5 matches) and Lokomotive Leipzig sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Hertha BSC II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC II vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotive Leipzig the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Hertha BSC II.
- Where and when is Hertha BSC II vs Lokomotive Leipzig played?
- Hertha BSC II vs Lokomotive Leipzig is played on February 14, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Olympiapark-Amateurstadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 14, 2027FSV ZwickauvsBFC Dynamo
- Feb 14, 2027Chemnitzer FCvsHallescher FC
- Feb 14, 2027FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Feb 14, 2027BFC PreussenvsErzgebirge Aue
- Feb 14, 2027SV Babelsberg 03vsMagdeburg II
- Feb 14, 2027BSG Chemie LeipzigvsRSV Eintracht
- Feb 14, 2027AltglienickevsGreifswalder FC
- Feb 14, 2027Tasmania BerlinvsLuckenwalde