Grêmio Anápolis vs Rio Verde: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 16Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Jonas Duarte, Anápolis, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Rio Verde the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Grêmio Anápolis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grêmio Anápolis vs Rio Verde?
Rio Verde starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,575).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grêmio Anápolis have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Rio Verde have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mineiros(home) | 1-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(away) | 0-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tupy FC(home) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trindade(home) | 3-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rio Verde(away) | 1-4 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morrinhos(home) | 1-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Goianésia(home) | 3-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mineiros(away) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(away) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(home) | 4-1 | Goiano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Grêmio Anápolis win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Rio Verde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rio Verde 4-1 Grêmio Anápolis | Goiano - 2 |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Grêmio Anápolis 1-2 Rio Verde | Goiano - 2 |
| May 31, 2025 | Rio Verde 1-0 Grêmio Anápolis | Goiano - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Rio Verde vs Grêmio Anápolis on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Grêmio Anápolis score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rio Verde score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio Anápolis | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Rio Verde | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grêmio Anápolis sit 7th in Goiano - 2 (7 points from 7 matches) and Rio Verde sit 1st (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Verde | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Grêmio Anápolis | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grêmio Anápolis vs Rio Verde?
- The Footlab model makes Rio Verde the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Grêmio Anápolis.
- Where and when is Grêmio Anápolis vs Rio Verde played?
- Grêmio Anápolis vs Rio Verde is played on October 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal Jonas Duarte, in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.