Tupy FC vs Rio Verde: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 17Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Rio Verde the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Tupy FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tupy FC vs Rio Verde?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Tupy FC (1,664) and Rio Verde (1,745).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tupy FC have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Rio Verde have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crixás EC(away) | 1-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mineiros(home) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(away) | 1-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Goiânia(home) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Goianésia(away) | 0-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morrinhos(home) | 1-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Goianésia(home) | 3-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mineiros(away) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(away) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(home) | 4-1 | Goiano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tupy FC win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Rio Verde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Rio Verde 1-0 Tupy FC | Goiano - 2 |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Tupy FC 2-2 Rio Verde | Goiano - 2 |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Rio Verde 0-0 Tupy FC | Goiano - 2 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Rio Verde 1-1 Tupy FC | Goiano - 3 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Tupy FC 2-2 Rio Verde | Goiano - 3 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Tupy FC 1-0 Rio Verde | Goiano - 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tupy FC score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Rio Verde score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tupy FC | 0.7 | 0.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
| Rio Verde | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tupy FC sit 5th in Goiano - 2 (9 points from 7 matches) and Rio Verde sit 1st (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Verde | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Tupy FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tupy FC vs Rio Verde?
- The Footlab model makes Rio Verde the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Tupy FC.
- Where and when is Tupy FC vs Rio Verde played?
- Tupy FC vs Rio Verde is played on October 7, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC), in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.