Gremio vs Atletico-MG: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 15, 2013 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Atletico-MG?
Atletico-MG won 0-1 on September 15, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 62′FernandinhoAtletico-MG
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Atletico-MG have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2013 | Nautico Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2013 | Portuguesa(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2013 | Goias(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Ponte Preta(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Flamengo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2013 | Coritiba(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2013 | Vitoria(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 5, 2013 | Fluminense(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Goias(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 25, 2013 | Portuguesa(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gremio win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Atletico-MG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2013 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Atletico-MG 0-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 1, 2012 | Gremio 0-1 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Nov 5, 2011 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2011 | Gremio 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2010 | Atletico-MG 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 7th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy