Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 18, 2023 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
Atletico Paranaense won 1-2 on October 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 7′L. BesozziGremio
- 38′B. ZapelliAtletico Paranaense
- 90′Kaique RochaAtletico Paranaense
Official lineup for Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Gremio
4-3-3- 21J. Iturbe
- 9L. Suárez
- 22L. Besozzi
- 19F. Cristaldo
- 14Nathan
- 23Pepê
- 6Reinaldo
- 4W. Kannemann
- 3Geromel
- 2Fábio
- 12Gabriel Grando
Atletico Paranaense
- 8Vitor Bueno
- 14A. Canobbio
- 92Pablo
- 5Fernandinho
- 10B. Zapelli
- 26Erick
- 28T. Cuello
- 25Cacá
- 37L. Esquivel
- 44Thiago Heleno
- 1Bento
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Atletico Paranaense have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2023 | Internacional(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Corinthians(away) | 4-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2023 | RB Bragantino(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2023 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Coritiba(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2023 | Internacional(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2023 | Flamengo(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gremio wins, 0 draws, 3 Atletico Paranaense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Atletico Paranaense 4-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 13, 2021 | Gremio 0-1 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Gremio 1-0 Atletico Paranaense | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Atletico Paranaense 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 28, 2019 | Atletico Paranaense 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Paranaense vs Gremio on May 27, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Paranaense score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Atletico Paranaense | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (37 points from 33 matches) and Atletico Paranaense sit 5th (54 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 54 |
| 15 | Gremio | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 44 | 37 |
A question about Gremio vs Atletico Paranaense?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy