Gremio vs Bahia: result 1-1 and analysis
Copa Do BrasilQuarter-finalsKick-off on July 12, 2023 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Bahia?
Gremio and Bahia drew 1-1 on July 12, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 45′EveraldoBahia
- 72′M. VillasantiGremio
- 120′ReinaldoGremio (pen.)
- 120′CaulyBahia (pen.)
- 120′FerreiraGremio (pen.)
- 120′EveraldoBahia (pen.)
- 120′M. VillasantiGremio (pen.)
- 120′Yago FelipeBahia (pen.)
- 120′André HenriqueGremio (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Bahia have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2023 | Botafogo(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jul 5, 2023 | Bahia(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Bahia(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 25, 2023 | Coritiba(home) | 5-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 22, 2023 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2023 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 5, 2023 | Gremio(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Gremio(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Fluminense(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 22, 2023 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2023 | Bahia 1-1 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Bahia 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Gremio 1-1 Bahia | Serie B |
| Jul 3, 2022 | Bahia 0-0 Gremio | Serie B |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Bahia 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Gremio 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Bahia | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy