Gremio vs Bahia: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 18Kick-off on August 31, 2014 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Bahia?
Gremio won 1-0 on August 31, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 59′H. BarcosGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bahia have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2014 | Corinthians(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2014 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2014 | Criciuma(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 10, 2014 | Internacional(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2014 | Vitoria(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2014 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2014 | Criciuma(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 17, 2014 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 9, 2014 | Goias(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2014 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gremio win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2013 | Gremio 0-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Aug 11, 2013 | Bahia 0-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Bahia 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2012 | Gremio 3-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2011 | Bahia 1-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 5, 2011 | Gremio 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 0.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Bahia | 0.5 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy