Gremio vs Bahia: result 2-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 3Kick-off on June 5, 2011 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Bahia?
Gremio won 2-0 on June 5, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 5′Júnior ViçosaGremio
- 32′Júnior ViçosaGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Bahia have 0, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2011 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2011 | Corinthians(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 28, 2010 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2010 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 13, 2010 | Santos(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2011 | Flamengo(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2011 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 2.0 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 2.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Bahia | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy