Gremio vs Bahia: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 6, 2021 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Bahia?
Gremio won 2-1 on January 6, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 16′VandersonGremio
- 47′Anderson Vieira MartinsBahia
- 54′Diego SouzaGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Bahia have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2020 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 27, 2020 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Dec 24, 2020 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 19, 2020 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Santos(away) | 1-4 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2020 | Internacional(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Dec 20, 2020 | Flamengo(away) | 3-4 | Serie A |
| Dec 16, 2020 | Defensa Y Justicia(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Dec 9, 2020 | Defensa Y Justicia(home) | 2-3 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gremio win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2020 | Bahia 0-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2019 | Gremio 0-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jul 17, 2019 | Bahia 0-1 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 10, 2019 | Gremio 1-1 Bahia | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Bahia 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2018 | Gremio 2-2 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.2 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Bahia | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (34 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy