Gremio vs Bahia: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 16, 2022 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Bahia?
Gremio and Bahia drew 1-1 on October 16, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 45′L. MugniBahia
- 84′Thiago SantosGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Bahia have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2022 | Londrina(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 4, 2022 | CSA(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2022 | Sport Recife(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Novorizontino(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2022 | Brusque(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 5, 2022 | Novorizontino(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Operario-PR(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2022 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2022 | Bahia 0-0 Gremio | Serie B |
| Nov 26, 2021 | Bahia 3-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Gremio 2-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jan 6, 2021 | Gremio 2-1 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2020 | Bahia 0-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2019 | Gremio 0-1 Bahia | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bahia | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy