Gremio vs Botafogo: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 14, 2020 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Botafogo?
Gremio won 3-1 on October 14, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 34′Diego SouzaGremio
- 41′Matheus BabiBotafogo
- 48′Pepê AquinoGremio
- 66′Pepê AquinoGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Botafogo have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2020 | Santos(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Coritiba(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Internacional(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2020 | U. Catolica(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2020 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 8, 2020 | Palmeiras(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2020 | Fluminense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2020 | Bahia(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gremio win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Botafogo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2019 | Gremio 3-0 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Jun 12, 2019 | Botafogo 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Gremio 4-0 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Apr 28, 2018 | Botafogo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2017 | Botafogo 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 14, 2017 | Gremio 2-0 Botafogo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Botafogo score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Botafogo | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Botafogo sit 11th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 30 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy