Gremio vs Botafogo: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 38Kick-off on December 11, 2016 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Botafogo?
Botafogo won 0-1 on December 11, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 17′Bruno SilvaBotafogo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Botafogo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2016 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Santa Cruz(away) | 1-5 | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2016 | Atletico-MG(away) | 3-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Nov 20, 2016 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 17, 2016 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2016 | Ponte Preta(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 16, 2016 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Flamengo(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Coritiba(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Botafogo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2016 | Botafogo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Botafogo 0-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 22, 2014 | Gremio 2-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Botafogo 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 14, 2013 | Gremio 2-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Gremio 1-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Botafogo score 0.8 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Botafogo | 0.8 | 0.6 | 8 | 2/15 | 1/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Botafogo sit 11th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 30 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy