Gremio vs Coritiba: result 5-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on June 25, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Coritiba?
Gremio won 5-1 on June 25, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 34′F. CristaldoGremio (pen.)
- 41′Alef MangaCoritiba
- 48′M. VillasantiGremio
- 54′BitelloGremio
- 66′L. SuárezGremio
- 84′André HenriqueGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Coritiba have 0, 7 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2023 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Flamengo(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2023 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 27, 2023 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2023 | Internacional(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Santos(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| May 27, 2023 | Cuiaba(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 20, 2023 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Coritiba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2021 | Coritiba 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Gremio 2-1 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Oct 15, 2017 | Coritiba 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 23, 2017 | Gremio 2-0 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2016 | Coritiba 4-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 29, 2016 | Gremio 2-0 Coritiba | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Coritiba score 0.8 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Coritiba | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Coritiba sit 10th (31 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Coritiba | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 31 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy