Gremio vs Coritiba: result 2-3 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on July 27, 2014 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Coritiba?
Coritiba won 2-3 on July 27, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 49′Zé LoveCoritiba
- 57′H. BarcosGremio
- 65′H. BarcosGremio
- 73′Zé LoveCoritiba
- 90′Alexsandro de SouzaCoritiba
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Coritiba have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2014 | Figueirense(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2014 | Goias(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Jun 1, 2014 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| May 28, 2014 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| May 25, 2014 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2014 | Botafogo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Jul 16, 2014 | Figueirense(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| May 31, 2014 | Goias(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| May 28, 2014 | Criciuma(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| May 25, 2014 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Coritiba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2013 | Coritiba 4-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 9, 2013 | Gremio 0-1 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Gremio 0-0 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Jul 28, 2012 | Coritiba 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 8, 2011 | Coritiba 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 10, 2011 | Gremio 2-0 Coritiba | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 0.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Coritiba score 0.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 0.8 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Coritiba | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Coritiba sit 10th (31 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Coritiba | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 31 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy