Gremio vs Coritiba: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 7, 2020 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Coritiba?
Gremio won 2-1 on October 7, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 3′Luiz FernandoGremio
- 11′David BrazGremio
- 72′Nathan SilvaCoritiba
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Coritiba have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2020 | Internacional(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2020 | U. Catolica(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2020 | Internacional(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2020 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2020 | Fluminense(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2020 | Goias(away) | 3-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Coritiba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2017 | Coritiba 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jun 23, 2017 | Gremio 2-0 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2016 | Coritiba 4-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 29, 2016 | Gremio 2-0 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2015 | Gremio 0-0 Coritiba | Serie A |
| May 16, 2015 | Coritiba 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Coritiba score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Coritiba | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Coritiba sit 10th (31 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Coritiba | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 31 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy