Gremio vs Cruzeiro: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 6, 2012 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Cruzeiro?
Gremio won 2-1 on October 6, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 27′Anselmo RamonCruzeiro
- 67′M. MorenoGremio
- 78′MarquinhosGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Cruzeiro have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2012 | Santos(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Atletico-MG(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2012 | Nautico Recife(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Corinthians(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2012 | Internacional(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 23, 2012 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2012 | Figueirense(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Sport Recife(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cruzeiro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2012 | Cruzeiro 1-3 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Gremio 2-0 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Jul 6, 2011 | Cruzeiro 2-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2010 | Gremio 2-1 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Jul 25, 2010 | Cruzeiro 2-2 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cruzeiro score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Cruzeiro | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Cruzeiro sit 5th (39 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 39 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy