Gremio vs Fluminense: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 37Kick-off on December 3, 2025 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Fluminense won 1-2 on December 3, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 19′Y. SoteldoFluminense
- 52′Y. SoteldoFluminense
- 54′André HenriqueGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Fluminense have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | Palmeiras(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Botafogo(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Fortaleza EC(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Sao Paulo(home) | 6-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Flamengo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Mirassol(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2025 | Fluminense 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Fluminense 2-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Fluminense 2-1 Gremio | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Gremio 2-1 Fluminense | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Fluminense 2-3 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.4 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.4 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy