Gremio vs Fluminense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 5Kick-off on May 18, 2014 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Full time
What was the result of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Gremio won 1-0 on May 18, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 37′RodriguinhoGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Fluminense have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2014 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 3, 2014 | Santos(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Apr 20, 2014 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Portuguesa(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2014 | Flamengo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| May 4, 2014 | Vitoria(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Apr 27, 2014 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Apr 19, 2014 | Figueirense(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Bahia(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gremio win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2013 | Fluminense 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 28, 2013 | Gremio 2-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Oct 17, 2012 | Fluminense 2-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Jul 26, 2012 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Nov 16, 2011 | Fluminense 5-4 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 14, 2011 | Gremio 2-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 23 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy