Gremio vs Fluminense: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 1, 2017 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
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What was the result of Gremio vs Fluminense?
Gremio won 1-0 on October 1, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 86′L. da SilvaGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gremio have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Fluminense have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2017 | Bahia(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Sport Recife(home) | 5-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 24, 2017 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2017 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2017 | Vitoria(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 21, 2017 | Atletico-MG(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gremio win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Fluminense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2017 | Fluminense 0-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| May 31, 2017 | Fluminense 0-2 Gremio | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 18, 2017 | Gremio 3-1 Fluminense | Copa Do Brasil |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Gremio 0-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jun 11, 2016 | Fluminense 1-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 19, 2015 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gremio score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio | 1.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gremio sit 15th in Serie A (25 points from 22 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (41 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 15 | Gremio | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy